Haralabos VoulgarisVerifizierter Account. @haralabob. Head of Quantitative Research and Something or Other Dallas Mavericks. Irresponsibly. What Haralabos Voulgaris' New Front Office Job In Dallas Says About Sports Betting And The NBA. Veteran sports bettor and poker player. In einem wirklich beeindruckenden Blog erzählt der kanadische Highroller und Sportwetter Haralabos Voulgaris über seine Erfahrungen mit FullTilt Poker, Ray.
What Haralabos Voulgaris’ New Front Office Job In Dallas Says About Sports Betting And The NBAHaralabos VoulgarisVerifizierter Account. @haralabob. Head of Quantitative Research and Something or Other Dallas Mavericks. Irresponsibly. Uhr aufstehen, Zähne putzen, anziehen; Arbeit; Spiele des Tages. Marvel Puzzle Quest ☑ – “Big Enchilada” # mit Gamora (Guardians of the Galaxy). Haralabos Voulgaris Poker Spieler Profil. Die aktuellsten Informationen, Gewinne und Galerie.
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Merkur Mathe Spiele es nun schon seit mehreren Jahren und wenn es den? - Building a stack in stagesDie Gladbacher gewinnen. Haralabos „Bob“ Voulgaris ist ein kanadisch-griechischer Pokerspieler und professioneller Sportwetter. Haralabos „Bob“ Voulgaris (* 7. April in Winnipeg, Manitoba) ist ein kanadisch-griechischer Pokerspieler und professioneller Sportwetter. Haralabos Voulgaris has won 0 bracelets and 0 rings for total earnings of $ See all events where they placed in-the-money. In einem wirklich beeindruckenden Blog erzählt der kanadische Highroller und Sportwetter Haralabos Voulgaris über seine Erfahrungen mit FullTilt Poker, Ray.
Voulgaris does explain that this type of data would have a bigger advantage in MLB daily-fantasy-sports games since the games are played and completed in a single day instead of over a five-day window.
But this doesn't mean the average player isn't getting screwed. I think that's the part where there is some impropriety.
It's a giant partnership between the pros and the sites, and the unsuspecting customers who are doing this for entertainment are literally getting fleeced.
What Voulgaris is describing is not unlike playing poker, something else he has excelled at. The key is to find those scraps that are more predictive than others.
Each player has two values -- on offense and as a defender -- and those values are constantly changing. So Voulgaris and the Whiz created, for Ewing, an aging component.
Further number-crunching revealed that different types of players, based on position and size, will reach their zeniths at different ages and on trajectories that are possible to predict.
Ewing now grasps the curve of the lifespan of the point guard, the shooting guard, the forwards, the center -- and predicts the downslope and expiration date of every NBA career.
When Ewing went live with actual betting for the first time toward the end of the season, Voulgaris was not yet sold on its powers. For another, the model was performing unremarkably with their money on the line -- right above the break-even line.
So too has the frequency of his wagering. In a season, he now regularly puts down well over 1, individual bets.
It might come as little surprise to learn that Voulgaris has intermittently dreamed of becoming the general manager of an NBA franchise. If not maybe all.
In pursuit of this, in Voulgaris broke one of the cardinal rules of the sharp sports bettor: He sought publicity, conducting interviews with gambling and NBA-centric blogs.
As with everything Voulgaris does, it was a calculated move. He wanted to burnish his bona fides as a quantitative basketball expert.
And it worked. Despite the fact that he was giving up a yearly income that he says would dwarf all but the highest-paid executive in the NBA -- who is Jerry West of Golden State, Voulgaris is quick to point out -- he stopped gambling and signed a contract during the season with one of the co-owners of an NBA franchise to consult on matters of player acquisition and roster assembly.
The owner, according to Voulgaris, made certain alluring pledges. The quant revolution in sports at large has brought these two worlds closer together than ever before, at least intellectually.
Voulgaris spent five months working for the NBA franchise. He says he advised his co-owner client on several trades. The stats nerds have no chance of ever becoming general managers.
During the NBA regular season, which he splits between any number of North American and international ports of call, he watches as many games as he can, clocking more than 80 hours a week.
He typically faces a wall against which rises a rack of Samsung flat-screens: a inch central TV flanked on both sides by vertical ranks of three inch screens, each showing a game.
From here, he orchestrates his wagering: Ewing spits out a projected score and a number representing its level of confidence for each potential wager.
This is a lifestyle not exactly conducive to relationships: He partly attributes his recent breakup with a girlfriend of five years to his odd hours during the season.
Despite it all, Voulgaris faces the same issue that all sharps face: the sustainability of his edge, no matter how sophisticated the model that produces it.
When he returned to gambling for the season, Voulgaris says Ewing clocked an ROI of more than 6 percent. By , it had fallen to 5.
Of course, the lockout-shortened season made for a bizarre outlier year, and Voulgaris and the Whiz had to adjust. Basically they subtracted a varying amount from the scores Ewing gave them, trying to account for the rust that kept scoring low at the start of the season, and the compressed number of games that later fatigued players -- and also kept scoring low -- toward the end of the season.
But the limits of Ewing were apparent to Voulgaris. Already he sensed the inevitable. If, year after year, his margins are deteriorating, Voulgaris must increase the number of bets he makes in order to account for that slippage, just as he did when he moved from a subjective to a quant approach.
He and the Whiz tweak Ewing in a ceaseless effort to incrementally improve its ability to spit out projections that carry high-enough confidence readings.
The more he wagers, the more he courts ruin. When I visit him in LA over the summer, he and the Whiz are working to finish several potential alterations to Ewing, incorporating offseason player movements and adjusting the model to account for the weird data produced by the campaign.
The predictive tool will end up responding in a very predictable way: Its margins will continue to narrow.
Maybe, he muses at one point, it will be that sports gambling is someday legalized throughout the U. He wonders whether he could become a gambler akin to the Brit Tony Bloom, whose predictive soccer model won him enough quid to acquire the recently promoted Brighton FC.
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Namespaces Article Talk. Views Read Edit View history. Help Learn to edit Community portal Recent changes Upload file.During the playoffs I make a lot of series bets and quite often during the season I will also make what are called future bets. From Wikipedia, Dora Spile free encyclopedia. Read more : Sports Betting: Leisure, opportunities, and Risks. Retrieved